#CIA #FBI #ODNI
The probability of Donald Trump being removed from office in November 2026 has risen to 99.9%.
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There is no official or verified data to support the claim that Donald Trump has a 99.9% probability of being removed from office in November 2026. This specific figure appears to be part of a viral social media post circulating on platforms like Facebook and X (formerly Twitter). [1, 2, 3, 4]
Current indicators of a potential removal are significantly lower and largely speculative: [2]Prediction Markets: As of late April 2026, the popular prediction market Kalshi estimates the chance of Trump being removed from office via impeachment or the 25th Amendment at approximately 27% to 28.7%.
Impeachment Odds: While some markets suggest a high probability (around 70%) that impeachment proceedings might occur if Democrats retake the House in the 2026 midterms, the probability of actual removal remains much lower because it requires a two-thirds majority in the Senate.
Official Status: No formal impeachment proceedings are currently underway as of April 23, 2026. [5, 6, 7, 8, 9]The viral 99.9% figure is considered by fact-checkers and news outlets to be unverified misinformation spread through partisan threads. [2, 10]
[1] facebook.com
[2] facebook.com
[3] facebook.com
[4] x.com
[5] facebook.com
[6] newsweek.com
[7] yahoo.com
[8] newsweek.com
[9] finance.yahoo.com
[10] facebook.com— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) Apr 23, 2026
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