Categories
Selected Articles

AI vibe coding tools may be going from boom to bust, new data shows. Here’s why.

Lovable CEO Anton Osika is dressed in a blue shirt and looking ahead.
Lovable CEO Anton Osika told Business Insider that a computer science degree hasn’t become useless but its value has certainly shifted in the age of AI.

  • Barclays analysts spotted significant traffic declines lately for vibe coding sites.
  • Lovable is among the services seeing big drops, according to Barclays data.
  • The slump happened after a period of hype earlier this year.

The AI-fueled vibe coding boom, in which anyone can create an app or website with a few text prompts, may already be losing steam.

New research from Barclays shows that traffic to some of the buzziest services, including Lovable and Vercel’s v0, has slumped after peaking earlier this year.

Google Trends data analyzed by Barclays tells the same story: a summer surge followed by a slowdown.

A chart from Barclays research
A chart from Barclays research

The drop-off raises tough questions for startups that flaunted exponential annual recurring revenue growth just months ago. Analysts wrote that much of that revenue comes from month-to-month subscribers who may churn as quickly as they signed up, putting the durability of those flashy numbers in doubt.

“This waning traffic begs the question on whether app/site vibecoding has peaked out already or has just had a bit of a lull before interest ramps up,” Barclays analysts wrote in a recent note to investors.

While these young companies have disclosed surging ARR, they could have “questionable economics,” the analysts wrote, noting that sales gains like this could come from short-term subscribers who might not stick around. (ARR is a common industry metric that extrapolates monthly revenue streams into an annualized figure.)

A chart from Barclays research
A chart from Barclays research

Back in August, I warned you about “inference whales” messing with the business models of vibe coding services. Heavy users racked up huge costs, forcing some leading startups to raise prices and make other changes to avoid big losses.

Raising prices can dent user growth, that’s for sure. The Barclays note highlighted recent traffic declines at several top vibe coding sites:

  • Lovable, which hit $100 million ARR in June, is down 40%.
  • Vercel’s v0 has seen visits plunge 64% since May, according to data Barclays shared with investors this week. (Vercel recently put security measures in place to prevent unauthorized bot access to v0 outputs, so this may have contributed to some traffic decline.)
  • Bolt.new slipped 27% since June.
  • Even Replit, one of the more resilient players, has cooled, with traffic slipping slightly.
A chart from Barclays research
A chart from Barclays research

Eric Simons, CEO of Bolt.new, told me recently that vibe coding services are seeing higher customer churn and need to expand into stickier offerings.

Indeed, in August Bolt.new rolled out new features and an updated subscription aimed at keeping customers engaged for longer.

“This is the problem across all these companies right now. The churn rate for everyone is really high,” Simons said. “You have to build a retentive business.”

Don’t write off vibe coding yet, though. The tools, which blur the line between drag-and-drop builders and full-on coding, are still in the experimental stage. They’re most popular with AI-native early adopters, who use them to sketch out ideas but often hit a wall when the code gets messy. For mass-market users, that last 5% of polish remains a potential sticking point.

A chart from Barclays research
A chart from Barclays research

Legacy players still see potential. Wix bet on vibe coding to expand its market with its recent acquisition of Base44, an AI-native site builder. Rivals like GoDaddy are also eyeing the field.

“It seems to us that ‘everyday’ consumers are still very much in the experimentation stage of AI chat interfaces such as ChatGPT, let alone having familiarity or experimenting with adjacent ‘vibe coding’ solutions,” the Barclays analysts wrote.

Vibe coding might not topple traditional web tools anytime soon. It’s not going away either. Expect it to stay part of the AI conversation well into 2026.

Sign up for BI’s Tech Memo newsletter here. Reach out to me via email at abarr@businessinsider.com.

Read the original article on Business Insider
Categories
Selected Articles

How Walmart Is Changing Pharmacy Services

“We’re committed to investing in the tools and resources our pharmacists need to provide care,” Walmart told Newsweek.
Categories
Selected Articles

Russia Calls Lavrov-Rubio Meeting ‘Constructive’ After NATO War Talk

“There was a constructive atmosphere, truly a working one,” said Maria Zakharova.
Categories
Selected Articles

Hungary’s Orbán tells Trump that dropping Russian energy would bring economy ‘to its knees’

Hungary’s Orbán tells Trump that dropping Russian energy would bring economy ‘to its knees’
Categories
Selected Articles

What to Know About Amazon’s $2.5 Billion Settlement Over ‘Deceptive’ Prime Program

Amazon has reached a $2.5 billion settlement after the Federal Trade Commission alleged the company duped tens of millions of customers into signing up for its Prime program.

The FTC filed the lawsuit in 2023 under the Biden Administration, arguing that the mega corporation had tricked tens of millions of customers into enrolling in its Prime subscription program and deliberately made it exceedingly onerous to cancel it. Prime membership costs $14.99 per month or $139 per year and provides benefits, including free shipping, grocery delivery, access to streaming content, and exclusive deals.

[time-brightcove not-tgx=”true”]

“The Trump-Vance FTC made history and secured a record-breaking, monumental win for the millions of Americans who are tired of deceptive subscriptions that feel impossible to cancel,” FTC Chairman Andrew Ferguson said in a statement. “The Trump-Vance FTC is committed to fighting back when companies try to cheat ordinary Americans out of their hard-earned pay.”

But former Biden-era FTC commissioners have raised concerns about the FTC’s decision to settle rather than go to trial. The settlement comes a week after U.S. District Court Judge John Chun ruled in favor of the FTC that Amazon had violated U.S. consumer protection laws in collecting billing information from subscribers before fully disclosing the terms of the membership.

Amazon spokesperson Mark Blafkin said in a statement that Amazon and its executives “have always followed the law and this settlement allows us to move forward and focus on innovating for customers.”

The settlement also comes at a time when President Donald Trump has sought to remake the FTC after Biden-era FTC Chair Lina Khan led the agency in line with a sweeping antitrust enforcement agenda. Earlier this week, the Supreme Court sided with Trump, provisionally allowing him to fire Rebecca Slaughter, the last Democratic commissioner on the FTC. Trump in March had moved to fire Slaughter, as well as Alvaro Bedoya, who formally resigned but is continuing to challenge his firing in court. Since then, the FTC has mostly operated with three Republican members and no Democrats.

Here’s what to know.

Why did the FTC sue Amazon?

The FTC alleged in its lawsuit that Amazon had used “manipulative, coercive, or deceptive user-interface designs known as ‘dark patterns’ to trick consumers into enrolling in automatically-renewing Prime subscriptions.” It also alleged that the company “knowingly complicated” the process to cancel Prime subscriptions.

“Like, you click the button that says ‘End Your Prime Membership’ and it does *not* end your Prime membership, but rather starts you on a 4-page, 6-click, 15-option cancellation journey that Amazon itself compared to that slim airport read, Homer’s Iliad,” Bedoya, who was a member of the FTC when it filed the lawsuit against Amazon, posted on X on Thursday.

Consumer Intelligence Research Partners, a third-party market research firm, estimates that 197 million U.S. Amazon customers had a Prime membership as of March.

The FTC also named three Amazon executives in the suit, alleging that the company’s leaders had knowingly “slowed, avoided, and even undid” changes that would make it easier for customers to cancel their memberships.

Chun had ruled last week that two of those executives, head of Amazon Prime Jamil Ghani and Senior Vice President of Amazon Health Services Neil Lindsay, would be individually liable if a jury sided with the FTC.

What does the settlement mean for consumers?

Amazon will pay a $1 billion civil penalty to the FTC and refund $1.5 billion to roughly 35 million customers who had been affected by “unwanted Prime enrollment or deferred cancellation,” per the terms of the settlement. It’s the highest civil penalty in a case involving an FTC rule violation and the second-largest restitution award obtained by the FTC, the agency said.

Amazon will return up to $51 to eligible U.S. consumers over the last six years (from June 23, 2019, to June 23, 2025). This includes customers who signed up for Amazon Prime through a “challenged enrollment flow,” which refers to “any version of the Universal Prime Decision Page, the Shipping Option Select Page, Prime Video enrollment flow, or the Single Page Checkout.” That likely excludes customers who signed up directly via the Prime subscription site.

Eligible consumers also include customers who unsuccessfully attempted to cancel their subscription, either because they began the process but did not complete it, or because they took a “Save Offer” during the process.

Customers who used three or fewer Prime benefits in a 12-month period may receive an automatic payment within 90 days, according to the FTC. Other eligible customers will have the opportunity to make a claim through a form sent by Amazon. Customers will have up to 180 days to submit the claims form to Amazon through email, First-Class postage pre-paid mail, or the settlement website, per the agreement.The settlement also requires Amazon to make substantive changes to their Prime enrollment and cancellation processes by including a “clear and conspicuous” button for customers to decline membership, include clear disclosures about auto-renewal and the price of Prime during the sign-up process, and provide an easy way for customers to cancel their subscription.

Amazon and its executives did not admit any wrongdoing as part of the settlement, and the company said that it had already instituted many of the changes laid out by the FTC.

Amazon still faces another lawsuit brought by the FTC in 2023, which alleged that the company is an exploitative monopoly and illegally suppressed competition among online marketplaces. The company won partial dismissal of the lawsuit last year, although it is still scheduled to go to trial in early 2027.

Why are some former commissioners concerned about the settlement?

But not everyone sees the settlement as a win.

Khan, who led the agency in bringing the lawsuit against Amazon, suggested that the FTC had absolved the company of its full culpability by agreeing to settle.

“A $2.5 billion fine is a drop in the bucket for Amazon and, no doubt, a big relief for the executives who knowingly harmed their customers,” Khan posted on X. The penalty makes up around 0.1% of Amazon’s nearly $2.4 trillion market cap.

“This week marked the start of a historic jury trial, where American citizens would hear details of Amazon’s business practices and determine if it had broken the law. A couple of days into trial @FTC announces it has settled all charges, rescuing Amazon from likely being found liable for having violated the law and allowing it to pay its way out,” Khan continued.

She added in another post, “Inking this settlement a few days into the trial, after a series of wins for @FTC and once resources were already spent, raises real questions.”

Bedoya also scrutinized the settlement agreement.

“So, to take a step back, the FTC was *winning* — the judge was agreeing with the FTC… and the FTC was about to start a trial where they would likely get *more* leverage and could air out the full allegations and evidence against Amazon in public. And then, today, the new FTC leadership announced a settlement,” he posted on X.

Bedoya said the agreement is effective for 10 years for the company and three years for the executives. “Based on my initial read, do the executives need to do anything separate from that? Do they pay any fines? Are they being demoted? Are they subject to extra monitoring? Do they need to admit any guilt whatsoever? The answers, as far as I can tell are no, no, no, no, and no,” Bedoya wrote.

Matthew Stoller, a researcher at the American Economic Liberties Project, pointed out that the settlement allowed Amazon to admit to no wrongdoing, even though, “A judge already ruled in summary judgment they violated the law.”

The FTC under the Trump Administration has shifted focus towards conservative issues, particularly after Trump’s firings in March. Although several of its commissioners, including Ferguson, have been skeptical of big tech, their criticisms have focused on companies’ regulations of speech. In recent months, the agency has warned Google that filtering Republican fundraising emails as spam could be a violation, investigated media watchdog Media Matters accused by Elon Musk of aiding advertiser boycotts of social media platform X, and held a workshop on the “dangers” of gender-affirming care for trans youth.

“We have to ask ourselves,” Bedoya said, “What pressure did the White House put on this FTC to enter into this settlement? What communications were there? This doesn’t smell right.”

Categories
Selected Articles

Stressed Dad Working Two Jobs Unprepared for Note on His Desk

“I’m melting,” the original poster wrote.
Categories
Selected Articles

Farage endangering women by failing to condemn paracetamol claims, says Bridget Phillipson

Labour deputy leader candidate criticises ‘scaremongering’ on autism and says party must be firmer in tackling Reform

Nigel Farage is “endangering women’s health” by failing to condemn Donald Trump’s claims that using paracetamol during pregnancy causes autism, Bridget Phillipson has said.

The education secretary and minister for women said she had used the painkiller throughout her second pregnancy, and she warned that Reform’s connections with medical conspiracy theories including anti-vaccine rhetoric made the party a danger to public health.

Continue reading…

Categories
Selected Articles

Leonardo DiCaprio reveals the surprising name Hollywood agents wanted him to use

Hollywood agents said Leonardo DiCaprio’s name was too ethnic.
Categories
Selected Articles

Xiaomi’s CEO says the company bought 3 Tesla Model Ys and ripped them apart to see what they could learn

Xiaomi CEO Lei Jun launches the SU7 EV in Beijing on March 28
Xiaomi CEO Lei Jun launches the SU7 EV in Beijing.

  • Xiaomi’s CEO, Lei Jun, said he bought 3 Tesla Model Ys to disassemble them.
  • He said his team then studied every component carefully.
  • He said the Model Y was an “outstanding” car, and those who don’t choose Xiaomi’s YU7 could consider it.

Xiaomi’s CEO revealed this week just how closely the company is studying its competition at Tesla.

During his annual speech on Thursday, Xiaomi chief executive Lei Jun said the company had bought 3 Tesla Model Ys and ripped them apart to examine them.

“We bought 3 Model Ys at the start of this year, disassembling the parts one by one, and studied every component, one at a time,” he said to a large crowd at the Beijing National Convention Center.

Behind him was a large screen displaying a side-by-side comparison of the Model Y to Xiaomi’s new YU7 electric SUV.

Lei added that he found Model Y to be a really good car.

“If you don’t choose YU7, you can consider Model Y,” the 55-year-old executive said.

He added that Xiaomi’s team spent a long time thinking about how to best design the SUV’s internal space. Lei said that the final version of the YU7’s design “definitely does not lose to the Model Y.”

He also compared the battery life of Xiaomi’s YU7 with that of the Model Y, and said he thought his firm had excellent performance for its price point.

“I’m not criticizing the Model Y. The Model Y is a very, very outstanding car,” Lei added.

This comes as Tesla’s sales in China dropped 4% in August to 83,200 units, compared to the year before, per data from the China Passenger Car Association.

It has been losing steam in the country as it faces intense competition from local players like Xiaomi, Xpeng, and Nio, all selling cheaper EVs than Tesla.

Xiaomi’s YU7 received over 240,000 preorders in 24 hours when it launched in June.

Representatives for Xiaomi and Tesla did not respond to requests for comment from Business Insider.

Read the original article on Business Insider
Categories
Selected Articles

North Korea Close to Finishing Missile Able to Strike US, South Korea says

Kim Jong Un’s secretive state releases few details about its nuclear program, but does want an expansion of its atomic arsenal.